Wheat declined from a 10-month high on speculation that rising prices, poised for the biggest monthly increase in more than three years, will curb demand and as a technical indicator signaled the rally may be excessive.
The contract for May delivery dropped as much as 0.8 percent to $7.0975 a bushel on the Chicago Board of Trade and was at $7.1125 by 2:18 p.m. in Singapore. Prices reached $7.185 yesterday, the highest since May 13. Futures jumped 18 percent in March, set for the biggest monthly climb since July 2010.
The grain jumped 30 percent through yesterday since closing at $5.515 on Jan. 29 amid shipping delays in Canada and turmoil in Ukraine and as crop conditions deteriorated in the U.S., the world’s biggest shipper. Wheat’s 14-day relative strength index rose to 73.3 yesterday, the highest since July 2012. Readings above 70 indicate to analysts who study technical charts that prices may drop.
“The market thinks that at these levels there’s a fair bit priced in for any weather concerns, in the U.S. primarily,” Paul Deane, an analyst at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group Ltd., said by phone from Melbourne today. “There’s a reasonable risk that it consolidates near-term.”
This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.