German ZEW Fell in January

German investor and analyst economic sentiment unexpectedly fell in January, sending the euro to a session low against the dollar, but remained at its highest level in nearly eight years.

A monthly survey by Germany’s ZEW Center for Economic Research showed economic sentiment eased in January to 61.7 after a rise to 62.0 in December. A Reuters poll showed analysts had expected a figure of 64.0.

The results signalled caution from investors over the outlook for Germany amid signs of a euro zone recovery. The European Central Bank raising its growth forecast for the region in December, predicting gross domestic product to grow 1.1 percent in 2014.

But economists are positive about the survey which they say remains at a high point.

“The main index slipped a little bit which was against expectations, but it is still at a high level. Deposit the slight fall, it is still a positive survey,” Jonathan Loynes, chief European economist at Capital Economics told CNBC in a phone interview.

ZEW’s gauge of current conditions showed a strong trend upwards, surging to 41.2 in January from 32.4 in December, and surpassing the forecast of 34.0.

“For months, the surveyed financial market experts have expected an economic upswing. In this month’s survey the clearly improved assessment of the current economic situation seems to confirm these expectations,” Professor Dr. Clemens Fuest, the ZEW president said in a statement.

via German investor sentiment in surprise fall

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza