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IMF Raises UK Growth for 2013 and 2014

The International Monetary Fund has given a boost to George Osborne by raising its growth forecasts for the UK in both 2013 and 2014.

In its half-yearly World Economic Outlook (WEO), the Washington-based fund said national output in Britain would expand by 1.4% this year and by 1.9% in 2014.

Upbeat data since the IMF’s last set of forecasts in July led to estimates of growth being upgraded by 0.5 points in 2013 and by 0.4 points in 2014 – the highest for any developed economy.

The fund embarrassed the chancellor in its last WEO, when it called on the UK to ease up on its austerity plans in order to boost the recovery prospects. It repeated the call for higher public spending in its latest assessment.

“In the UK, recent data have shown welcome signs of an improving economy, consistent with increasing consumer and business confidence, but output remains well below its pre-crisis-peak”, the fund said.

A spokesperson for the Treasury said: “The IMF has confirmed that the UK economy is turning a corner, by revising up its forecast for growth over the next two years by more than for any other G7 economy. But risks to the global economy remain high, and the recovery cannot be taken for granted. That is why the government will not let up in implementing its economic plan, which has already cut the deficit by a third, kept interest rates near record lows and created over a million and a quarter jobs.”

via The Guardian [1]

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza [6]

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse [7]
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza