Goldman Estimates 3 Week US Shutdown Cost to be 0.9% of GDP

On Monday, US President Barack Obama said that “a shutdown will have a very real economic impact on real people, right away”.

But what exactly will that economic impact be?

The last time the US government shut down in 1995, it cost the federal government $1.5bn (£927m) – that’s $2.1bn (£1.3bn) in today’s dollars.

Goldman Sachs estimates a three-week shutdown could shave as much as 0.9% from US GDP this quarter.

However, markets, while down for the week – have not plummeted and, overall, are still up significantly for the year.

For now, it seems, the business community is focused on other concerns, like when the Federal Reserve will begin to ease off its extraordinary efforts to prop up the US economy – something the central bank says will not happen any time soon, partially due to Washington dysfunction.

via BBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza