Week in FX Asia – Singapore Warns the FED To Expand

Earlier this week the Singaporean Finance minister called on the Fed to expand its mandate – potential Fed monetary actions could continue to have a financially unstable effect especially amongst the emerging markets. 

During the month of August a trading priority was the liquidation of EM assets. India bore the brunt of rapid capital flight exiting their system and seeking solace mostly in the dollar and dollar assets. The emerging world is doomed to capital-flow instability “unless the Fed takes into account financial volatility in high-growth regions in its monetary policy.” 

The Fed cannot be act alone – Christian Lagarde and the IMF needs to provide greater guidance on capital controls. Responsibility also lies with Asian policymakers to introduce their own market reforms. This past summers EM asset sell-off has renewed the debate about how to stabilize emerging financial systems. If they don’t then Australasia “faces a perpetual cycle of credit booms and busts unless the US Federal Reserve looks beyond its employment-inflation mandate and considers the impact of its monetary stance on emerging markets,” according to Singapore’s Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

It’s a fine balancing act that the Fed has to deal with. They have never been here before, and turning off the liquidity tap too soon will only stifle what little growth policy makers have worked so hard to achieve – and potentially drag the emerging economies with them.

WEEK AHEAD

* EUR Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index
* CAD Gross Domestic Product
* CNY Manufacturing PMI
* AUD Reserve Bank of Australia Rate Decision
* EUR German Unemployment Change
* USD ISM Manufacturing
* EUR European Central Bank Rate Decision
* USD ISM Non-Manufacturing Composite
* JPY Bank of Japan Rate Decision
* USD Unemployment Rate
* USD Change in Non-farm Payrolls

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell