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International Energy Agency Forecasts EM Crash Hitting Oil Demand

The recent crash in emerging market currencies could hit global oil demand if it continues, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned on Thursday, as it forecast an improvement in oil supply over the coming months.

Emerging markets have been pounded in 2013 amid speculation of an end to the U.S. Federal Reserve’s bond-buying program, with currencies from countries including India, Turkey, Russia and Brazil coming under intense pressure. As oil is priced in dollars, depreciation in an oil-importing country’s currency versus the dollar means the cost of importing oil for that country will rise – and could result in a reduction in demand.

“The rapid depreciation of many emerging market currencies since 1Q13 (first quarter of 2013), if sustained, may adversely affect oil demand,” the Paris-based agency said in its September oil market report.

via CNBC [1]

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza [6]

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse [7]
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza
Alfonso Esparza

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