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OECD Warns Global Growth Recovering in Large Economies But Sluggish In Emerging Markets

Global growth is set to remain sluggish, a leading economic agency has said, as while the recovery in developed economies has strengthened, many emerging economies have slowed.

The OECD said that activity was expanding in North America, Japan and the UK at “encouraging rates”.

But it warned that difficulties in emerging economies continued to drag down global growth.

A sustainable recovery is not firmly established and risks remain, it said.

The Organisation for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD) said that growth in the second quarter of 2013 in the major advanced economies was stronger than expected.

Overall in 2013, the OECD forecasts US growth of 1.7%, just ahead of Japan, with 1.6% and 1.5% growth in the UK.

It said the US Federal Reserve should gradually reduce the rate of its stimulus programme, while continuing to keep policy interest rates low, in line with existing forward guidance.

The OECD said that while the eurozone was no longer in recession it remained vulnerable, and said many eurozone banks were insufficiently capitalised and burdened by bad loans.

It forecasts that Germany’s economy will grow by 0.7% during 2013, and France by just 0.3%. It expects the Italian economy to shrink by 1.8% during the same period.

via BBC [1]

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza [6]

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse [7]
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza
Alfonso Esparza

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