Australia’s dollar traded 0.6 percent from the lowest level since 2011 before U.S. data forecast to show improvements in consumer confidence and manufacturing amid speculation the Federal Reserve may slow stimulus.
The Aussie’s one-month volatility versus the greenback was near the highest since June. The currency rebounded against the yen, snapping a four-day slide, as technical indicators signaled recent losses were excessive. Chairman Ben S. Bernanke said last week the Fed may slow quantitative easing if there are signs of sustained economic growth. Demand for the Australia and New Zealand currencies was limited on prospects slowing Chinese output will curb the South Pacific nations’ exports.
“It would be interesting to see whether the expectations will continue for the Fed to wind down QE,” said Janu Chan, a Sydney-based economist at St. George Bank Ltd. “There’s a bit of uncertainty about China. Chinese data this week could increase the chance of the RBA cutting sooner rather than later. I wouldn’t rule out Aussie falling further,” Chan said, referring to the Reserve Bank of Australia.
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