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China Bankers and Entrepreneurs Confident about Economy

Bankers and entrepreneurs are more confident of the economic outlook in China, according to the central bank’s fourth quarter surveys released Tuesday.

The banker confidence index rose 13.1 percentage points to 55.1 percent in the fourth quarter from Q3, according to a survey by the People’s Bank of China (PBOC).

In a separate PBOC survey, entrepreneurs confidence index was up 1.2 percentage points to 60.4 percent from the third quarter, according to the bank.

Both indices were still lower than the level a year earlier, the PBOC said.

About 49.4 percent of bankers surveyed believed that the macro-economy is operating at a “normal” level, up 11.8 percentage points from Q3, while 47.9 percent of bankers thought the macro-economy was “relatively cool.”

The PBOC survey found 39.5 percent of entrepreneurs surveyed thought China’s current macro-economy was “relatively cool,” down 0.9 percentage points from previous quarter.

About 57.8 percent said the economy was “normal,” up 1.4 percentage points from Q3.

Up to 19.8 percent of bankers surveyed expect the country’s monetary policy will “loosen” in the next quarter, 13.9 percentage points higher than the previous quarter. About 69.9 percent of bankers expect the monetary policy to remain “appropriate.”

China will continue to implement a proactive fiscal policy and prudent monetary policy in 2013, according to a statement issued Sunday after the closure of a two-day central economic work conference.

The country’s economy grew by 7.4 percent year on year in the third quarter, slowing for the seventh straight quarter.

via Xinhua [1]

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza [6]

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse [7]
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza
Alfonso Esparza

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