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Loonie the first to hike?

Canada looks like a safe bet to be the first amongst the G8 members to hike rates. Last month’s inflation figures were a tad stronger than expected, topping Governor Carney’s +2% inflation target. Despite the small breach, no CBank in this stuttering economic environment would be rushing to raise rates. Canada’s outperforming metrics, employment, housing and manufacturing data still have to combat specific external headwinds that scream for extending domestic accommodative policies. The BoC has been very vocal about being adequately ‘flexible’ in its inflation target mandate. The timing of any hike will be ‘weighed carefully against domestic and global economic developments.’ Currently, risk aversion has not been kind to the loonie.

Below are some other highlights of the week:



EUROPE Week in FX [1]

ASIA Week in FX [2]



  • Inflation letters and Expectations are released in NZD and GBP
  • CBank statements, announcements and minutes come from JPY and GBP
  • USD, CAD and GBP provide Home and Retail Sales numbers
  • GBP has quarterly growth
  • HSBC Flash manufacturing is delivered by CNY
  • German ifo Business Climate will pique EUR interest
  • USD will finish the week with Durable goods and Claims


This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell [7]

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse [8]
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell
Dean Popplewell

Latest posts by Dean Popplewell (see all [7])