Oil Set For Third Weekly Decline

Oil headed for a third weekly drop as U.S. crude output rose to a two-year high and Chinese refining slowed, signs that the world’s two biggest consumers may stymie OPEC-led efforts to trim a global glut.

Futures were little changed in New York, down 3.2 percent for the week. U.S. production had the biggest weekly advance since June, according to Energy Information Administration data on Wednesday, offsetting the largest decline in stockpiles in almost a year. Oil processing in China fell in July, the biggest decline for that particular month in three years, figures from the National Bureau of Statistics showed Monday.

Oil this month has fluctuated in the tightest range since February as production cuts by the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies drain a surplus more slowly than expected. Brent crude prices will struggle to climb above $60 a barrel during the next five years because of plentiful supplies from both OPEC and U.S. shale, according to Citigroup Inc.

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Craig Erlam

Craig Erlam

Senior Currency Analyst at OANDA
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Sky News, Bloomberg, CNBC and BBC. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.