In this week’s webinar Senior Market Analyst Craig Erlam discusses the week’s main events including Thursday’s ECB decision and press conference and gives his analysis on EURUSD (7:38), GBPUSD (15:10), EURGBP (18:03), AUDUSD (19:35), USDCAD (22:42), NZDUSD (26:57), USDJPY (28:18), GBPJPY (29:32) and EURJPY (31:54).
The summer months can often be rather slow in financial markets but if the early weeks are anything to go by, this is not going to be the case this year. Once again it’s been a lively week with central banks largely being at the centre of it all, most notably the ECB which, despite leaving interest rates and bond buying unchanged, triggered a rally in the euro which saw it hit an 11-month high against the US dollar.
Bank of England Governor Mark Carney’s appearance may have had the potential to be the biggest sterling event this week but instead that came from the data with inflation and retail sales numbers both weighing on the currency. Price pressures eased last month but inflation remains well above the BoE’s target, the question is whether they’ve eased enough to stop policy makers pulling the trigger in the coming months.
It’s been a big week for the Australian dollar, which has been spurred on by both employment data at home and growth numbers abroad. With key levels now broken though, can AUD build on its gains? The greenback will play its part after coming under pressure once again on Thursday but is this becoming an overcrowded trade or is there further to go?