USD/JPY – Yen Strengthens on Positive Japanese Wage Report

USD/JPY has posted considerable losses on Tuesday, losing 0.84 percent. In the North American session, USD/JPY is trading at 109.60, marking a 6-month low for the pair. On the release front, Japanese Average Cash Earnings posted a gain of 0.5%, above the forecast of 0.3%. In the US, there was good news from the employment front, as JOLTS Jobs Openings jumped to 6.04 million, crushing the estimate of 5.65 million.

The Japanese yen received a boost on Tuesday, thanks to a solid wage growth report. Average Cash Earnings in April posted a respectable gain of 0.5%, rebounding from a 0.3% decline in the previous release. The dollar has dropped below the 110 level for the first time since April 25. The Japanese economy has shown some improvement, as stronger global demand has buoyed the export and manufacturing sectors. Japan will release Final GDP on Wednesday, and the markets are expecting GDP to be revised upwards to 0.6%, compared to 0.5% in the Preliminary GDP. If the GDP matches or beat this estimate, the yen’s gains could continue.

The Federal Reserve holds its policy meeting next week, and the markets are widely expecting the Fed to raise rates for the second time in 2017. On Monday, the odds of a rate increase stood at 96%, but the odds have dipped to 91%, in response to the dismal Nonfarm Payrolls report on Friday. An increase in interest rates represents a vote of confidence in the US economy, but the Fed continues to have some concerns. Inflation remains stubbornly low, despite a labor market that remains close to capacity. Fed policy makers are also scratching their heads over soft consumer spending, which has not kept pace with high levels of consumer confidence. As for additional rate hikes in the second half of 2017, the markets remain skeptical, with the odds of a September rate hike at just 22%. However, stronger data in the third quarter will likely raise the likelihood a September hike.

USD/JPY Fundamentals

Monday (June 5)

  • 20:00 Japanese Average Cash Earnings. Estimate 0.3%. Actual 0.5%
  • 23:45 Japanese 30-y Bond Auction. Actual 0.82%

Tuesday (June 6)

  • 10:00 US JOLTS Job Openings. Estimate 5.65M. Actual 6.04M

Wednesday (June 7)

  • 19:50 Japanese Final GDP. Estimate 0.6%

*All release times are GMT

*Key events are in bold

 

USD/JPY for Tuesday, June 6, 2017

USD/JPY June 6 at 10:50 EDT

Open: 110.47 High: 110.53 Low: 109.28 Close: 109.44

 

USD/JPY Technical

S3 S2 S1 R1 R2 R3
105.19 106.68 108.13 109.77 110.94 112.57

USD/JPY posted considerable losses in the Asian session. The pair posted slight losses in the European session but has recovered in North American trade

  • 109.77 is providing support
  • 110.94 is the next line of resistance
  • Current range: 110.94 to 112.57

Further levels in both directions:

  • Below: 108.13, 106.68 and 105.19
  •  Above: 109.77, 110.94, 112.57 and 113.55

OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio

USD/JPY ratio is unchanged in the Tuesday session. Currently, long positions have a majority (60%). This is indicative of trader bias towards USD/JPY reversing directions and moving to higher levels.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Kenny Fisher

Kenny Fisher

Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Kenny Fisher joined OANDA in 2012 as a Currency Analyst. Kenny writes a daily column about current economic and political developments affecting the major currency pairs, with a focus on fundamental analysis. Kenny began his career in forex at Bendix Foreign Exchange in Toronto, where he worked as a Corporate Account Manager for over seven years.