US Tax Cuts Won’t Be Here This Year Says Carlyle Group

President Donald Trump is very serious about pushing through the tax cuts promised in his campaign but getting them through Congress will not be easy, according to The Carlyle Group’s David Rubenstein.

“He certainly intends to follow through but getting things through our Congress is not that easy. But it’s clear from the President’s speech last night and what he’s said before that that he’s very serious about the promises he made during his campaign…I think he’ll push,” the private equity giant’s co-founder told CNBC in Berlin on Wednesday.

Given the lengthy Congressional process, Rubenstein estimates we are unlikely to see a definitive outcome on the tax cut question this year.

“The President will no doubt have some principles that he’ll set forth soon and no doubt there’ll be corporate tax cuts in those and repatriating money from offshore. I think that’ll probably happen in the next week or two or three… but I think it’ll take about a year before it gets done,” said Rubenstein, reminding viewers that a similar length of time was needed for former Presidents Ronald Reagan and George W. Bush to enact their changes to tax policy.

While much media commentary has focused on exactly how the current administration will square Trump’s priorities of cutting taxes and boosting fiscal spend, Rubenstein sounded a sanguine note on the prospect of yet another rise in the debt ceiling, a restriction which he clarified was not a constitutional requirement.

“Every President struggles to get the debt ceiling raised and Congress is never in favour of it but the debt ceiling always does get raised and it’ll get raised eventually,” he said, adding that once that happened, he would expect borrowing to increase given the relatively supportive environment provided by current interest rates and the existing ratio of debt to gross domestic product (GDP).

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza