MXN Hits New Low Ahead of Trump Conference

The Mexican peso weakened Wednesday to fresh lows against the U.S. dollar ahead of President-elect Donald Trump’s highly anticipated news conference.

“Most of what’s driving the peso today is [still] policy, what you might hear [at] the Trump press conference,” said Jason Leinwand, founder and CEO of currency trading advisory firm FirstLine FX.

“There’s still a lot of concern in markets about the U.S.-Mexico relationship going forward, a lot of concern about NAFTA,” the North American Free Trade Agreement, Leinwand said. He said weakness in the peso should continue despite the Mexican central bank’s intervention efforts and expected interest rate hikes.

The dollar-peso hit 21.9477 in early morning trade, extending as the Mexican currency extended Tuesday’s more than 1.5 percent decline.

The peso has fallen more than 5 percent against the dollar to start the year, and is off nearly 20 percent since the election. Traders are concerned Trump’s tough campaign talk against Mexico, including renegotiation of NAFTA, will become reality after his inauguration. The president-elect is scheduled to speak at his first news conference since the election at 11 a.m., ET.

via CNBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza