EURGBP – 7-Day Support Broken After UK CPI Data

Sterling is on the rise on Tuesday, spurred on by higher than expected UK inflation data that cast doubt on whether the Bank of England will still consider easing monetary policy again this year.

The rally in the pound prompted a break of technical support against the euro, which had held over the last week as the pair consolidated at its six year highs.


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A break lower had always looked more likely at these levels, with the pair having made lower highs at the last three times of asking despite traders repeatedly buying the dips around 0.90. While this never created a textbook descending triangle on the chart, the message was the same.

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Taking into consideration the size of the opening of the descending triangle (albeit a very rough one), we get a possible projection level for the pair around 0.88, which coincides with the next key support zone.

The pair found strong resistance around this level – 0.8770-0.8815 – back in 2013 and so this could be a logical area of support on this occasion.

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The pair could also find support around these levels from the ascending trend line – 24 June lows – a break of which could signal a much more significant moves to the downside.

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Craig Erlam
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the BBC and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.