Gold – Are We Headed Higher Again?

Gold has been on the rise again on Wednesday, benefiting from the weaker dollar in today’s session, and coming off yesterday’s which happened to coincide with an interesting level of support.

The yellow metal has been in correction mode so far this month since coming off its highs hit on 2 May – around $1,303.83 – but may be about to continue its ascent having rebounded nicely off a key support level.

Gold Daily

This came around $1,256.50 where the 61.8 Fibonacci retracement level – 22 April lows to 2 May highs – crosses with the ascending trend line from 14 January lows.

We initially saw some stabilisation in Gold, coming after quite an aggressive sell-off on Monday but today it appears to have rotated back to the upside, breaking through yesterday’s highs with the next important test coming around $1,287.78 – this week’s high.

While we have seen some decent gains in today’s session, it’s looking unlikely that this will be achieved today. With that in mind, I would like to see the morning star formation completed which would mean it closing more than two thirds of the way into Monday’s candle, so above $1,279.78.

This would be quite a bullish signal and may suggest we’re going to see another push to break above $1,307.78, having failed at the last time of asking. Above here it could run into further resistance around $1,319.50-1,325.50.

Alternatively, if we see more downside pressure, it could suggest a broader correction of this year’s rally is to come. A break of the trend line would be the first indication of such a move, with support below here coming around $1,224-1,227.50.

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This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the BBC and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.