Lowe to Replace RBA’s Glenn Stevens

Philip Lowe is set to replace Glenn Stevens as governor of Australia’s central bank, inheriting an economy grappling with the onset of disinflation that forced policy makers to cut interest rates to a record low this week.

Lowe, 54, the unanimous forecast of economists surveyed by Bloomberg in October, was appointed to a seven-year term starting Sept. 18, Treasurer Scott Morrison said Thursday ahead of an election expected to be called this weekend. Stevens leaves after helping steer the nation’s economy through the global financial crisis and the end of a mining investment boom.

Morrison took a page out of his opposition predecessor’s playbook in making the appointment in the run-up to an election, and in opting for the Reserve Bank of Australia deputy fell in with a long pattern of appointments from within the central bank. Unlike counterparts in the U.K. or U.S., Australia’s central bank has almost never seen an outsider put in charge of monetary policy.

“This is someone who understands the Australian economy and global issues very, very well,” said Richard Grace, chief currency and rates strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia in Sydney. “The appointment will be welcomed by the market because Lowe is a solid and known individual.”

Lowe inherits the post with diminished rate ammunition after the central bank eased policy to 1.75 percent Tuesday to cushion the end of a mining boom and try to take the heat out of a resurgent currency. The new governor may need to extend the easing cycle as traders are pricing in another rate cut in the next 12 months.

A 36-year veteran of the central bank with a PhD from Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Lowe has served as Stevens’s deputy since 2012. Stevens, the third successive RBA governor to be replaced by his No. 2, welcomed Lowe’s promotion in a statement following the announcement.

“It is a superb appointment,” he said. “There could be no one better qualified than Phil Lowe to lead the bank through the next seven years. The bank will be in the best hands.”

Lowe said in the same statement he was “deeply honored” and looked “forward to continuing the important work that the bank’s boards and staff undertake for the people of Australia.”

Bernanke, Draghi

Lowe is among fellow central bankers Ben S. Bernanke and Mario Draghi in attending MIT, where Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer and former Bank of England Governor Mervyn King taught.

His main macro-economic professors were Olivier Blanchard, who was chief economist at the International Monetary Fund until September, and Rudiger Dornbusch, who pioneered the theory that currencies overshoot in either direction in the short run before correcting over time.

Bill Evans, chief economist at Westpac Banking Corp., said Lowe was the best candidate for the position.

“I’ve been dealing with the Reserve Bank for 30 years or more and I found him the most outstanding person I’ve dealt with,” Evans said. “The best way to measure Phil’s ability is the insights from his speeches — whenever he gave a speech I learnt something.”

Morrison also appointed Ian Harper as an independent member of the board of the central bank, replacing John Edwards whose term expires on July 30. The central bank’s new deputy governor role will be “considered in the second half of the year,” the Treasurer said.

Opposition Treasury spokesman Chris Bowen welcomed Lowe’s promotion: “Dr Lowe is one of the finest Australian economists of his generation,” Bowen said in a statement.

Bloomberg

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Dean Popplewell

Dean Popplewell

Vice-President of Market Analysis at MarketPulse
Dean Popplewell has nearly two decades of experience trading currencies and fixed income instruments. He has a deep understanding of market fundamentals and the impact of global events on capital markets. He is respected among professional traders for his skilled analysis and career history as global head of trading for firms such as Scotia Capital and BMO Nesbitt Burns. Since joining OANDA in 2006, Dean has played an instrumental role in driving awareness of the forex market as an emerging asset class for retail investors, as well as providing expert counsel to a number of internal teams on how to best serve clients and industry stakeholders.
Dean Popplewell