WTI Crude – Major Resistance Lies Ahead

WTI Crude is trading in a very important technical zone right now that could give a strong indication of whether the rally has legs or the correction has ran its course.

The area between the 200 and 240 simple moving averages marks a region that has historically provided support and resistance, with a break potentially representing a broader trend change. With Brent trading in this area currently, we should soon get an idea of which this is.

WTI Daily

It is also trading close to an area that was significant support in September and October and became resistance once it was eventually broken in November, between $42.20-43.20.

If we see a break above this zone, which would take out the moving averages in the process, it would be very bullish for Brent and could indicate that much larger gains lie ahead, with the next notable resistance zone coming around $48-49.

Alternatively, should a reversal form around this level, it may suggest that we’re about to see a rotation back to the downside, with the first barrier potentially coming around $39.50-40.

This would be confirmed by a break below $39.40, thereby ending the period of higher lows. Prior to this though, it could find support around $37.25-37.60.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the BBC and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.