WTI Crude – Rally Resumes But Resistance Remains

WTI crude is back on the rise on Wednesday following a brief stint in the red the day before which appears to have been primarily driven by profit-taking at a technical resistance level.

WTI had continued its push higher on Tuesday but ran into resistance around $37.25, an area that it has failed to break above in December and January.

WTI Daily

It spent the rest of the session in consolidation mode but failed to close below Monday’s opening level or even trade below its lows, which suggested the move had not gathered any real momentum.

That proved to be the case today as it continued its push higher and now it once again faces the test of trying to break above a zone that on three occasions has proven too difficult, between $37.25 and $37.60.

As it stands, it is once again facing strong resistance at this level, which could be a sign that it is topping out. Another failure to break above here could result in a double top forming, with the top at $37.25 and the neckline at $35.10.

WTI 4hr

Of course, this is only completed once the neckline is broken, but it may suggest that the correction in the bear move is completed and further downward pressure lies ahead.

Alternatively, if we do see a break above this resistance zone, we could see WTI push on, with $39.50 – $40 being the next key resistance zone, having previously provided support. It also marks the 38.2% retracement of the move from 6 May highs to 11 February lows.

Craig Erlam
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the BBC and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.