AUDUSD – Rally Continues After Brief Retracement

The Aussie dollar is rallying against its U.S. counterpart again on Monday after undergoing a correction in the second half of last week.

The pair broke above the long term descending channel a couple of weeks ago and while the move higher has been far from convincing since, it appears we could see another slow grind higher in the days ahead.

AUDUSD Daily

The bulls took control again around the 50 fib level – 18 November lows to 25 November highs – which suggests the sell-off towards the end of the week was just a retracement and there’s still appetite for more gains. What’s more, if the pair closes the day above 0.7227, we could have a bullish engulfing pattern which again points to further gains going forward.

AUDUSD 4hr

The next test for the pair could now come at last week’s highs, around 0.7282, with a break of this potentially opening up a move towards what’s proven to be a key resistance zone over the last four months, between 0.7380-0.7440.

As you can see below, OANDA traders remain undecided on the pair and are unconvinced by the recent rally and breakout.

Open positions

There is a lot of open buy orders around last month’s highs – 0.738232 – which may suggest that if the level is broken, we could see a more convincing rally than we’ve seen so far. That said, we’re still some way from hitting that level as it stands.

Order Book

To get access to our Open Positions and Order Book tools, visit OANDA Forex Labs.

This article is for general information purposes only. It is not investment advice or a solution to buy or sell securities. Opinions are the authors; not necessarily that of OANDA Corporation or any of its affiliates, subsidiaries, officers or directors. Leveraged trading is high risk and not suitable for all. You could lose all of your deposited funds.

Craig Erlam
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the BBC and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.