UK’s CBI Upgrades GDP Growth in 2015 and 2016

The UK is to enjoy “decent quarterly GDP growth” the CBI has predicted as it upgrades its forecasts for this year and next.

The business lobby group now expects growth of 2.6% this year and 2.8% next year, up from its June forecast of 2.4% and 2.5% respectively.

Increased household spending and “robust” investment growth will drive the improved growth, the CBI believes.

The CBI now expects interest rates to rise in the first quarter of next year.

In June, it had expected rates to begin rising from their historic low of 0.5% from the start of April next year.

But it now says the improved growth picture alongside “more hawkish” comments from the Bank of England’s rate-setting Monetary Policy Committee had prompted it to bring its prediction forward.

“We now expect interest rates to rise to 0.75% in the first quarter of 2016, and then rise at a slow pace thereafter,” the CBI said.

via BBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza