Tsipras Braves Parliament on Aid as Greek Outlook Worsens

Greek Prime Minister Alexis Tsipras braved a revolt in his own party as parliament in Athens began to debate a bailout of up to 86 billion euros ($95 billion) that international officials have already suggested won’t be enough.

With Greece’s finances deteriorating rapidly and its banks on the verge of collapse, the European Union proposed a four-week bridging loan that countries including the U.K. have refused to back. Adding to the worsening outlook, the European Commission and the International Monetary Fund both said they had serious concerns about Greece’s debt load.

The increasingly desperate efforts to aid Greece underline the fragile nature of the deal struck in weekend negotiations to keep the country in the 19-nation euro region. The first challenge falls to Athens, where parliament must back a package of austerity measures as a precondition to the country’s third bailout in five years.

“We had to negotiate a difficult agreement that includes both fiscal measures and reforms,” Finance Minister Euclid Tsakalotos told lawmakers in Athens on Wednesday as they began debating the package. Some measures “continue to be of a neoliberal bent that will affect many social groups, with a doubtful return in terms of growth,” he said.

Opposition Support

With capital controls ravaging an economy that has already shrunk by a quarter since 2009, the prospect of having to back steps including streamlined sales taxes and curbs to the pension system split Tsipras’s anti-austerity Syriza coalition.
The European Commission and the International Monetary Fund both said they had serious concerns about Greece’s debt load.

A majority of members of Syriza’s central committee signed a declaration rejecting the agreement, Athens News Agency reported. High-profile cabinet members including Energy Minister Panagiotis Lafazanis said they’ll reject the bailout and the deputy foreign and finance ministers resigned in protest. The defections mean Tsipras will have to rely on opposition lawmakers to carry the vote, due before midnight local time, and then reshuffle his ministerial team.

Government 10-year bond yields in fellow bailout recipients Spain, Portugal and Ireland narrowed by as many as 10 basis points on the prospect of a resolution to the standoff that has convulsed the euro area since Tsipras’s election in January. The euro was little changed at 2:17 p.m. in Frankfurt after dropping 3 percent since June 18, when Tsipras said he was ready to reject a bailout with its associated conditions.

Those same measures demanded by creditors in exchange for aid have exacted a “heavy toll” and led to a dramatic deterioration in Greece’s ability to repay its debt over the past two weeks, a new analysis by the IMF showed on Tuesday. Greece as a result needs debt relief “far beyond” what the euro area has been willing to consider, including possibly deep “haircuts” on the value of Greek debt, it said.


Craig Erlam
Based in London, England, Craig Erlam joined OANDA in 2015 as a Market Analyst. With more than five years' experience as a financial market analyst and trader, he focuses on both fundamental and technical analysis while conducting macroeconomic commentary. He has been published by The Financial Times, Reuters, the BBC and The Telegraph, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on Bloomberg TV, CNBC, FOX Business and BNN. Craig holds a full membership to the Society of Technical Analysts and he is recognized as a Certified Financial Technician by the International Federation of Technical Analysts.