Chinese Auto Market to Slow Down by Half in 2014

Growth in China’s auto market, the world’s biggest, will halve to 7 percent this year weighed down by a slowing economy, the head of an industry body said on Saturday.

“Personally, I think growth this year can reach 7 percent,” Dong Yang, secretary general of the China Association of Automobile Manufacturers (CAAM), told reporters on the sidelines of an industry conference in Shanghai.

“The economy is slowing. The auto industry would reflect that but typically lags the economic cycle by a bit.”
 
CAAM had forecast China’s auto market, which grew by 13.9 percent last year, to expand at 8.3 percent in 2014. Dong said CAAM will not make any official revisions to its forecast.

Carlos Ghosn, head of Japanese carmaker Nissan Motor Co Ltd (7201.T) and its French alliance partner Renault SA (RENA.PA), told the same conference he was still optimistic about China’s outlook.

“From time to time we have slowdown … but fundamentally I’m still very optimistic on the fact that the long-term trend in China is up and carmakers should be prepared for that,” Ghosn said, pointing to China’s low car ownership level compared with other major markets.

via Reuters

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza