Gold Unchanged Awaiting Fed Comments

Gold was little changed near an eight-month low in New York as investors waited for the outcome of the Federal Reserve’s policy meeting to gauge the outlook for borrowing costs.

The Fed concludes the meeting today as officials consider the timing of interest-rate increases and whether to revamp their public guidance on the path of borrowing costs. Bullion rose the previous two days, partly as the metal’s 14-day relative-strength index held below 30, signaling to some traders who study charts that prices may be poised to rebound. The gauge was at 30.3 today.

Gold halted a 12-year rally in 2013 as the Fed prepared to reduce the monthly asset purchases. Policy makers have said since March that rates would stay low for a period after it completes the bond-buying program. Bullion is set for the first quarterly drop this year, with the dollar reaching a 14-month high against a basket of 10 major currencies this week.

“In the run up to this evening, I suspect we remain range bound and a bit jumpy,” David Govett, head of precious metals at Marex Spectron Group in London, said in a note today. “Traders are positioned short ahead of this expecting some form of commentary on earlier interest rate rises, so if this does not transpire, then expect a short-covering rally. If it does, the markets should come off.” Short covering refers to closing out bets on lower prices.

Gold for December delivery added 0.1 percent to $1,238.10 an ounce by 7:25 a.m. on the Comex in New York. It fell to $1,226.30 two days ago, the lowest since Jan. 9. Gold for immediate delivery rose 0.2 percent to $1,237.59 an ounce in London, according to Bloomberg generic pricing.

via Bloomberg

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza