Japanese Business Confidence Hit By Prolonged Storms

Business confidence among workers in Japan sensitive to economic trends fell for the first time in four months in August as prolonged rain and typhoons discouraged consumers from spending.

The diffusion index of responses to the government’s survey of “economy watchers” such as taxi drivers and restaurant workers fell 3.9 points from the previous month to 47.4, the first fall since April and a drop back below the threshold of 50 after just a month, showing that the economy halted its recovery from the consumption tax hike on April 1.

The government kept its assessment of the survey unchanged, however, saying it suggests the economy is “moderately recovering” and the negative reaction to a rush in demand ahead of the 3-percentage-point tax increase is beginning to wane.

It added, though, that weather negatively affected the figure in August as torrential rain hit parts of western Japan.

Downpours in the city of Hiroshima caused mudslides that killed 72 and left two unaccounted for. “Continuous heavy rain from the beginning of the month and the mudslides hit us during the final sale of the summer,” a department store official in western Japan commented in the survey.

The diffusion index shows whether respondents believe economic conditions have improved or worsened over the past three months. A reading of 50 indicates that those polled generally feel economic conditions are flat.

via Mainichi

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza