Gold Falls After Positive Global Economic Data

Gold futures fell to the lowest in five weeks in New York as the outlook for an improving global economy reduced demand for a haven.

A preliminary China Purchasing Managers’ Index from HSBC Holdings Plc and Markit Economics rose to an 18-month high. U.S. jobless claims fell to the lowest since February 2006 last week, a government report today showed. The Standard & Poor’s 500 Index of stocks rose to a record yesterday.

The decline extends losses this month for bullion after unrest in Ukraine and the Middle East helped prices rebound 10 percent in the first half of 2014. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. reiterated a call for gold to drop further by year-end with an accelerating U.S. recovery, even as the bank raised its long-term forecast on the metal.

“People don’t see the need for gold when there are signs of economic strength across the globe,” David Meger, the director of metal trading at Vision Financial Markets in Chicago, said in a telephone interview. “The safe-haven premium because of geopolitical tension is temporary.”

Gold futures for December delivery fell 1 percent to $1,293.60 an ounce at 10:50 a.m. on the Comex in New York after touching $1,289.40, the lowest for a most-active contract since June 19. The metal has lost 2.1 percent this month.

Trading was 45 percent above the average for the past 100 days for this time, data compiled by Bloomberg show.

Today’s decline took bullion below its 100-day moving average. Prices slid 28 percent last year on expectations the Federal Reserve will reduce stimulus as the economy improves.

via Bloomberg

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza