Oil Falls After Supplies Forecasted to Increase

West Texas Intermediate crude fell for a second day on speculation U.S. supplies rose last week. Brent traded near $110 on tensions in Ukraine and Libya.

WTI dropped as much as 0.3 percent. U.S. crude inventories may have increased 500,000 barrels to near the highest level for this time of year, according to a Bloomberg survey of nine analysts before a government report tomorrow. Stockpiles at Cushing, Oklahoma, may have climbed from a five-year low, two of the analysts said.

“When you step back and consider the fundamental picture, we still have a lot of supplies,” said Gene McGillian, an analyst and broker at Tradition Energy in Stamford, Connecticut. “If we don’t continue to see tightening fundamentals, at these kinds of levels the market really has a hard time to attract new investment.”

WTI for July delivery slid 22 cents, or 0.2 percent, to $103.89 a barrel at 9:06 a.m. on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The volume of all futures was 36 percent below the 100-day average for the time of day.

Brent for July settlement fell 5 cents to $109.97 a barrel on the London-based ICE Futures Europe exchange. The volume of all futures was about 28 percent below the 100-day average. WTI was at a discount of $5.81 to Brent. The spread closed at $5.91 yesterday, the narrowest in six weeks.

via Bloomberg

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza