Banks Need to Survive 7% GDP Drops Say New Stress Test Rules

European banks will be expected to prove they can survive a 7% drop in GDP under new tougher stress tests unveiled by the regulator.

It says banks should also be able to withstand a 14% fall in house prices and up to a 19% drop in share prices under a worst-case scenario.

The tests are designed to try and prevent further taxpayer bailouts.

The regulator said the tests would “address remaining vulnerabilities in the EU banking sector”.

“It will provide a common framework for the next stops to be taken by supervisors and banks,” said European Banking Authority (EBA) chair Andrea Enria.

The tests are much tougher than the EBA’s 2011 stress tests when it projected a worst-case scenario of just a 0.5% fall in GDP.

At the time, the tests were widely criticised for being too soft, particularly after 18 of the EU’s 27 countries at that time had weaker growth than the “adverse” case they were tested for.

“The key is that the scenario is at least as deep and dark as the great recession, the financial crisis of 2008/2009,” said Mark Zandi, Philadelphia-based chief economist at Moody’s Analytics.

via BBC

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