Russia Admits It Could Face No Growth Due to Ukraine

The Russian economy may see zero growth this year because of the Ukraine crisis, Russia’s finance minister has admitted.

The minister, Anton Siluanov, warned the country’s economy faced “the most difficult conditions since the 2008 crisis”, Russian news agencies said.

Mr Siluanov said Russia had already seen capital flight of $63bn in the first three months of 2014.

Russia’s annexation of Crimea is also set to increase state spending.

Mr Siluanov told a government meeting: “GDP growth is estimated as rather low, 0.5%. Perhaps it will be around zero.”

He added that money was leaving the country because of geopolitical instability – understood to mean Russia’s involvement in the Ukraine crisis and increased pressure in eastern Ukraine.

The capital flight, according to Mr Siluanov, was the result of the mass conversion of roubles into foreign currencies.

The continued slowdown in growth has also been linked to a dependence on energy exports and an economy in need of modernisation.

“Continuing capital flight lowers the opportunities for economic investment and creates risk of an unbalanced budget. The main reason for capital flight is instability in the way the geopolitical situation develops,” said Mr Siluanov.

Over the past three years, Russia has seen economic growth fall from 4.3% in 2011 to 1.3% in 2013.

via BBC

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Alfonso Esparza

Alfonso Esparza

Senior Currency Analyst at Market Pulse
Alfonso Esparza specializes in macro forex strategies for North American and major currency pairs. Upon joining OANDA in 2007, Alfonso Esparza established the MarketPulseFX blog and he has since written extensively about central banks and global economic and political trends. Alfonso has also worked as a professional currency trader focused on North America and emerging markets. He has been published by The MarketWatch, Reuters, the Wall Street Journal and The Globe and Mail, and he also appears regularly as a guest commentator on networks including Bloomberg and BNN. He holds a finance degree from the Monterrey Institute of Technology and Higher Education (ITESM) and an MBA with a specialization on financial engineering and marketing from the University of Toronto.
Alfonso Esparza