The Canadian dollar continues to trade below the key 1.10 line, as USD/CAD trades in the mid-1.09 line in the North American session. On the release front, the Bank of Canada released its quarterly BOC Business Outlook Survey. Today’s sole release out of the US is Consumer Credit.
On Friday, Canadian Employment Change posted an outstanding gain of 42.9 thousand, crushing the estimate of 21.5 thousand. This was the best showing since last August. The strong data continues to weigh on USD/CAD, as the Canadian dollar remains under the 1.10 level. For the first time in four months, the unemployment rate dropped below the 7.0% level, coming in at 6.9%.
Over in the US, the markets eagerly awaited the release of Non-Farm Payrolls, one of the most important economic indicators. The indicator rose nicely last in March, climbing to 192 thousand, compared to 175 thousand a month earlier. However, the markets were looking for more, with the estimate standing at 199 thousand. The Unemployment Rate also missed the mark, as it edged up to 6.7%. The estimate stood at 6.6%. Although these numbers were not as strong as hoped, the Federal Reserve is expected to continue trimming QE when it meets at the end of April.
USD/CAD for Monday, April 7, 2014
USD/CAD April 7 at 15:05 GMT
USD/CAD 1.0976 H: 1.1010 L: 1.0967
- USD/CAD is showing little movement in Monday trading.
- On the downside, the key line of 1.1000 continues to provide weak support. There is stronger support at 1.0906, which is protecting the 1.09 level.
- 1.1094 is the next resistance line. This is followed by 1.1177.
- Current range: 1.1000 to 1.1094
Further levels in both directions:
- Below: 1.1000, 1.0906, 1.0852, 1.0775 and 1.0706
- Above: 1.10, 1.1094, 1.1177, 1.1319 and 1.1496
OANDA’s Open Positions Ratio
USD/CAD ratio is pointing to gains in short positions on Monday. This is consistent with what we are seeing from the pair, as the Canadian dollar has posted very slight gains. The ratio has a majority of open long positions, indicating a trader bias towards the US dollar moving higher.
USD/CAD is showing little movement in Monday trade. With no major events out of either the US or Canada today, we could be in for an uneventful day from the pair.
- 12:30 Bank of Canada Business Outlook Survey.
- 19:00 US Consumer Credit. Estimate 14.1B.
*Key releases are highlighted in bold
*All release times are GMT